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趋势新指数

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30.6%

2D 内 +0.3 pts

Politics

Tracks major political events, leaders, and developments.

指数概率

成分市场

指数 = Σ ( 市场概率 × 权重 )

市场方向权重贡献

Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 28, 2026?

是成交于 88%

Yes

权重12.7%

贡献+11.2 pts

Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on August 28, 2026?

是成交于 29%

Yes

权重12.5%

贡献+3.6 pts

Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.0 on August 28, 2026?

是成交于 1%

Yes

权重12.5%

贡献+0.1 pts

Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?

是成交于 14%

Yes

权重12.5%

贡献+1.8 pts

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

是成交于 54%

Up

权重12.5%

贡献+6.8 pts

Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?

是成交于 2%

Yes

权重12.5%

贡献+0.2 pts

Graham Platner charged by August 31?

是成交于 14%

Yes

权重12.5%

贡献+1.7 pts

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

是成交于 44%

Yes

权重12.3%

贡献+5.3 pts

合计

权重100%

贡献+30.6 pts